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Mjällby AIF vs Elfsborg

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.51 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier52%
Uavgjort28%
Borteseier21%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier52% selection probability
Projected score2–1Mjällby AIFElfsborg
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under54% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
52% / 28% / 21%KampresultatHjemmeseier52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Elfsborg win (20.8%)Dobbel sjanse1X79.2%1.26
Over 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Ja 44% · Nei 56%Begge lag scorerNei56%1.79
2.51 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.0 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
Mjällby AIF win52%1.92
Uavgjort28%3.57
Elfsborg win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mjällby AIF1.74

Hjemme share of expected goals 69.3%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 46% · Under 54%

Elfsborg0.77

Borte share of expected goals 30.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 44% · Nei 56%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Mjällby AIF

1.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poeng5

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Elfsborg

0.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poeng4

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
21%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.74
Expected goals
0.77
Mjällby AIFElfsborg
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mjällby AIF signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Elfsborg signalHjemme clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Mjällby AIF vs Elfsborg FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mjällby AIF vunnet 52%,Uavgjort 28%,Elfsborg vunnet 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Over 2.5 46% · Current selection Under