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IFK Göteborg vs Kalmar FF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.46 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier35%
Uavgjort30%
Borteseier35%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier35% selection probability
Projected score1–1IFK GöteborgKalmar FF
Expected goals2.46Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under55% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
35% / 30% / 35%KampresultatHjemmeseier35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)Dobbel sjanse1270.3%1.42
Over 45% · Under 55%Goals 2.5Under55%1.82
Ja 51% · Nei 49%Begge lag scorerJa51%1.96
2.46 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.6 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
IFK Göteborg win35%2.86
Uavgjort30%3.33
Kalmar FF win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IFK Göteborg1.24

Hjemme share of expected goals 50.4%

Total expected goals2.46Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 45% · Under 55%

Kalmar FF1.22

Borte share of expected goals 49.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nei 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

IFK Göteborg

1.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poeng6

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Kalmar FF

1.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poeng8

SignalHjemme won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
35%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.24
Expected goals
1.22
IFK GöteborgKalmar FF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IFK Göteborg signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kalmar FF signalHjemme won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

IFK Göteborg vs Kalmar FF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

IFK Göteborg vunnet 35%,Uavgjort 30%,Kalmar FF vunnet 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.46 · Over 2.5 45% · Current selection Under