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Mjällby AIF vs Elfsborg

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.51 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg52%
Unentschieden28%
Auswärtssieg21%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg52% selection probability
Projected score2–1Mjällby AIFElfsborg
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter54% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
52% / 28% / 21%SpielergebnisHeimsieg52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Elfsborg win (20.8%)Doppelte Chance1X79.2%1.26
Über 46% · Unter 54%Goals 2.5Unter54%1.85
Ja 44% · Nein 56%Beide Teams treffenNein56%1.79
2.51 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
10.0 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Mjällby AIF win52%1.92
Unentschieden28%3.57
Elfsborg win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mjällby AIF1.74

Heim share of expected goals 69.3%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 46% · Unter 54%

Elfsborg0.77

Auswärts share of expected goals 30.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 44% · Nein 56%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Mjällby AIF

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Elfsborg

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
21%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.74
Expected goals
0.77
Mjällby AIFElfsborg
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mjällby AIF signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Elfsborg signalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Mjällby AIF vs Elfsborg FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mjällby AIF Gewinn 52%,Unentschieden 28%,Elfsborg Gewinn 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Über 2.5 46% · Current selection Unter