MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
POL Poland IV Liga · Fixture ·

Spartakus Daleszyce vs Orleta Kielce

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.49 expected goals
Away form
Home win24%
Draw24%
Away win53%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win53% selection probability
Projected score1–1Spartakus DaleszyceOrleta Kielce
Expected goals2.49Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under55% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
24% / 24% / 53%Match resultAway win53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.6%)Double chance1276.4%1.31
Over 45% · Under 55%Goals 2.5Under55%1.82
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.49 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapSpartakus Daleszyce winDifference+1.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Spartakus Daleszyce win24%4.174.0022.5%+1.5 pp
Draw24%4.173.9023%+1.0 pp
Orleta Kielce win53%1.891.6554.5%-1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Spartakus Daleszyce1.29

Home share of expected goals 51.8%

Total expected goals2.49Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 45% · Under 55%

Orleta Kielce1.20

Away share of expected goals 48.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Spartakus Daleszyce

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome won 2/3 recent home matches

Away-context · form sequence

Orleta Kielce

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Win probability excluding draw
53%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.29
Expected goals
1.20
Spartakus DaleszyceOrleta Kielce
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Spartakus Daleszyce signalHome won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Orleta Kielce signalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Spartakus Daleszyce vs Orleta Kielce FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Spartakus Daleszyce win 24%,Draw 24%,Orleta Kielce win 53%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.49 · Over 2.5 45% · Current selection Under