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POL Poland IV Liga · Fixture ·

KS Mszczonowianka vs Hutnik Warsaw

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–23.66 expected goals
Away form
Home win20%
Draw20%
Away win60%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win60% selection probability
Projected score1–2KS MszczonowiankaHutnik Warsaw
Expected goals3.66Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over71% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
20% / 20% / 60%Match resultAway win60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.1%)Double chance1279.9%1.25
Over 71% · Under 29%Goals 2.5Over71%1.41
Yes 68% · No 32%Both teams scoreYes68%1.47
3.66 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
10.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapKS Mszczonowianka winDifference0.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
KS Mszczonowianka win20%5.004.5020%0.0 pp
Draw20%5.004.5020%0.0 pp
Hutnik Warsaw win60%1.671.5060%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

KS Mszczonowianka1.41

Home share of expected goals 38.5%

Total expected goals3.66Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 71% · Under 29%

Hutnik Warsaw2.25

Away share of expected goals 61.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 68% · No 32%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

KS Mszczonowianka

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Hutnik Warsaw

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
20%
Win probability excluding draw
60%
2
Points from supplied form
7
1.41
Expected goals
2.25
KS MszczonowiankaHutnik Warsaw
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01KS Mszczonowianka signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hutnik Warsaw signalAway matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

KS Mszczonowianka vs Hutnik Warsaw FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

KS Mszczonowianka win 20%,Draw 20%,Hutnik Warsaw win 60%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.66 · Over 2.5 71% · Current selection Over