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POL Polonia - Liga IV · Final ·

KS Mszczonowianka vs Hutnik Warsaw

Prediction review

Casa form
Final score0–1Pronostico 1–2
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa27%
Pareggio25%
Vittoria ospite49%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 49% selection probability
Prediction Vinto
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite49% selection probability
Projected score1–2KS MszczonowiankaHutnik Warsaw
Expected goals3.66Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra71% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
27% / 25% / 49%Esito partitaVittoria ospite49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Doppia Chance1275.3%1.33
Sopra 71% · Sotto 29%Goals 2.5Sopra71%1.41
Sì 68% · No 32%Entrambe le squadre segnano68%1.47
3.66 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–2
10.3 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
KS Mszczonowianka win27%3.70
Pareggio25%4.00
Hutnik Warsaw win49%2.04

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

KS Mszczonowianka1.41

Casa share of expected goals 38.5%

Total expected goals3.66Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 71% · Sotto 29%

Hutnik Warsaw2.25

Trasferta share of expected goals 61.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 68% · No 32%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

KS Mszczonowianka

0.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punti2

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Hutnik Warsaw

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Vinta probability excluding draw
49%
2
Points from supplied form
7
1.41
Expected goals
2.25
KS MszczonowiankaHutnik Warsaw
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01KS Mszczonowianka signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hutnik Warsaw signalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

KS Mszczonowianka vs Hutnik Warsaw FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–2 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

KS Mszczonowianka vinta 27%,Pareggio 25%,Hutnik Warsaw vinta 49%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.66 · Sopra 2.5 71% · Current selection Sopra