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POL Poland IV Liga · Fixture ·

Jaguar Gdansk vs KP Starogard Gdanski

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.46 expected goals
Away form
Home win15%
Draw26%
Away win59%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win59% selection probability
Projected score1–2Jaguar GdanskKP Starogard Gdanski
Expected goals2.46Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under55% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
15% / 26% / 59%Match resultAway win59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Jaguar Gdansk win (14.8%)Double chanceX285.2%1.17
Over 45% · Under 55%Goals 2.5Under55%1.82
Yes 36% · No 64%Both teams scoreNo64%1.56
2.46 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
10.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Jaguar Gdansk win15%6.67
Draw26%3.85
KP Starogard Gdanski win59%1.69

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Jaguar Gdansk0.54

Home share of expected goals 22%

Total expected goals2.46Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 45% · Under 55%

KP Starogard Gdanski1.92

Away share of expected goals 78%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 36% · No 64%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Jaguar Gdansk

0.00pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

KP Starogard Gdanski

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalAway unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
15%
Win probability excluding draw
59%
0
Points from supplied form
11
0.54
Expected goals
1.92
Jaguar GdanskKP Starogard Gdanski
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Jaguar Gdansk signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KP Starogard Gdanski signalAway unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Jaguar Gdansk vs KP Starogard Gdanski FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Jaguar Gdansk win 15%,Draw 26%,KP Starogard Gdanski win 59%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.46 · Over 2.5 45% · Current selection Under