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POL Polen - IV Liga · Final ·

Spartakus Daleszyce vs Orleta Kielce

Prediction review

Hemma form
Final score0–3Prognos 1–1
Borta form
Hemmaseger19%
Oavgjort22%
Bortaseger58%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 58% selection probability
Prediction Vunnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger58% selection probability
Projected score1–1Spartakus DaleszyceOrleta Kielce
Expected goals2.49Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under55% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
19% / 22% / 58%MatchresultatBortaseger58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Spartakus Daleszyce win (19.2%)DubbelchansX280.8%1.24
Över 45% · Under 55%Goals 2.5Under55%1.82
Ja 51% · Nej 49%Båda lagen gör målJa51%1.96
2.49 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.3 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapOrleta Kielce winDifference-2.4 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Spartakus Daleszyce win19%5.265.0017.9%+1.1 pp
Oavgjort22%4.554.1021.8%+0.2 pp
Orleta Kielce win58%1.721.4860.4%-2.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Spartakus Daleszyce1.29

Hemma share of expected goals 51.8%

Total expected goals2.49Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 45% · Under 55%

Orleta Kielce1.20

Borta share of expected goals 48.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nej 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Spartakus Daleszyce

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma won 2/3 recent home matches

Borta-context · form sequence

Orleta Kielce

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalBorta matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
19%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
58%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.29
Expected goals
1.20
Spartakus DaleszyceOrleta Kielce
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Spartakus Daleszyce signalHemma won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Orleta Kielce signalBorta matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Spartakus Daleszyce vs Orleta Kielce FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Spartakus Daleszyce vunnen 19%,Oavgjort 22%,Orleta Kielce vunnen 58%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.49 · Över 2.5 45% · Current selection Under