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EGY Egypt Division 1 · Round 2 ·

Modern Sport FC vs Ghazl El Mahallah

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–11.62 expected goals
Away form
Home win40%
Draw33%
Away win27%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Modern Sport FCGhazl El Mahallah
Expected goals1.62Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under78% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo69% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
40% / 33% / 27%Match resultHome win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ghazl El Mahallah win (27%)Double chance1X73%1.37
Over 22% · Under 78%Goals 2.5Under78%1.28
Yes 31% · No 69%Both teams scoreNo69%1.45
1.62 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapGhazl El Mahallah winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Modern Sport FC win40%2.502.2040.6%-0.6 pp
Draw33%3.032.7033.1%-0.1 pp
Ghazl El Mahallah win27%3.703.4026.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Modern Sport FC0.74

Home share of expected goals 45.7%

Total expected goals1.62Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 22% · Under 78%

Ghazl El Mahallah0.88

Away share of expected goals 54.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 31% · No 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Modern Sport FC

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Ghazl El Mahallah

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Win probability excluding draw
27%
6
Points from supplied form
7
0.74
Expected goals
0.88
Modern Sport FCGhazl El Mahallah
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Modern Sport FC signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ghazl El Mahallah signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Modern Sport FC vs Ghazl El Mahallah FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Modern Sport FC win 40%,Draw 33%,Ghazl El Mahallah win 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.62 · Over 2.5 22% · Current selection Under