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EGY Αίγυπτος - 1η Κατηγορία · Round 2 ·

Μόντερν Σπορτ FC vs Γκάζ Ελ Μαχαλά

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–11.62 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου40%
Ισοπαλία33%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου27%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Μόντερν Σπορτ FCΓκάζ Ελ Μαχαλά
Expected goals1.62Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω78% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι69% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
40% / 33% / 27%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Γκάζ Ελ Μαχαλά win (27%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X73%1.37
Άνω 22% · Κάτω 78%Goals 2.5Κάτω78%1.28
Ναι 31% · Όχι 69%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι69%1.45
1.62 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
8.6 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapΓκάζ Ελ Μαχαλά winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Μόντερν Σπορτ FC win40%2.502.2040.6%-0.6 pp
Ισοπαλία33%3.032.7033.1%-0.1 pp
Γκάζ Ελ Μαχαλά win27%3.703.4026.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Μόντερν Σπορτ FC0.74

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 45.7%

Total expected goals1.62Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 22% · Κάτω 78%

Γκάζ Ελ Μαχαλά0.88

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 54.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 31% · Όχι 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Μόντερν Σπορτ FC

1.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Πόντοι6

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Γκάζ Ελ Μαχαλά

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
27%
6
Points from supplied form
7
0.74
Expected goals
0.88
Μόντερν Σπορτ FCΓκάζ Ελ Μαχαλά
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Μόντερν Σπορτ FC signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Γκάζ Ελ Μαχαλά signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Μόντερν Σπορτ FC vs Γκάζ Ελ Μαχαλά FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Μόντερν Σπορτ FC νίκη 40%,Ισοπαλία 33%,Γκάζ Ελ Μαχαλά νίκη 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.62 · Άνω 2.5 22% · Current selection Κάτω