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EGY Egypt Division 1 · Round 2 ·

Enppi vs Wadi Degla

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.17 expected goals
Away form
Home win38%
Draw33%
Away win29%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win38% selection probability
Projected score1–1EnppiWadi Degla
Expected goals2.17Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under63% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
38% / 33% / 29%Match resultHome win38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Wadi Degla win (29.2%)Double chance1X70.8%1.41
Over 37% · Under 63%Goals 2.5Under63%1.59
Yes 44% · No 56%Both teams scoreNo56%1.79
2.17 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapWadi Degla winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Enppi win38%2.632.3538%0.0 pp
Draw33%3.032.7033.1%-0.1 pp
Wadi Degla win29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Enppi1.12

Home share of expected goals 51.6%

Total expected goals2.17Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 37% · Under 63%

Wadi Degla1.05

Away share of expected goals 48.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 44% · No 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Enppi

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Wadi Degla

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Win probability excluding draw
29%
2
Points from supplied form
8
1.12
Expected goals
1.05
EnppiWadi Degla
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Enppi signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wadi Degla signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Enppi vs Wadi Degla FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Enppi win 38%,Draw 33%,Wadi Degla win 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.17 · Over 2.5 37% · Current selection Under