Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
48% / 28% / 24%Match resultHome win48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gimnasia LP (W) win (23.7%)Double chance1X76.3%1.31
Over 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Over50%2.00
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.67 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
7.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapFerro Carril Oeste (W) winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ferro Carril Oeste (W) win48%2.081.8548.4%-0.4 pp
Draw28%3.573.2028%0.0 pp
Gimnasia LP (W) win24%4.173.8023.6%+0.4 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 59.6%
Total expected goals2.67Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 50% · Under 50%
Away share of expected goals 40.4%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchFerro Carril Oeste (W)
WLDWL
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchGimnasia LP (W)
LLLLW
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3
SignalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
48%
Win probability excluding draw
24%7
Points from supplied form
31.59
Expected goals
1.08Ferro Carril Oeste (W)Gimnasia LP (W)
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Ferro Carril Oeste (W) vs Gimnasia LP (W) FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Ferro Carril Oeste (W) win 48%，Draw 28%，Gimnasia LP (W) win 24%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.67 · Over 2.5 50% · Current selection Over。