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ARG Argentina Championship Women · Match ·

Ferro Carril Oeste (D) vs Gimnasia LP (D)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.67 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger48%
Oavgjort28%
Bortaseger24%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger48% selection probability
Projected score2–1Ferro Carril Oeste (D)Gimnasia LP (D)
Expected goals2.67Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över50% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners7.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
48% / 28% / 24%MatchresultatHemmaseger48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gimnasia LP (D) win (23.7%)Dubbelchans1X76.3%1.31
Över 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Över50%2.00
Ja 53% · Nej 47%Båda lagen gör målJa53%1.89
2.67 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
7.2 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapFerro Carril Oeste (D) winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ferro Carril Oeste (D) win48%2.081.8548.4%-0.4 pp
Oavgjort28%3.573.2028%0.0 pp
Gimnasia LP (D) win24%4.173.8023.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ferro Carril Oeste (D)1.59

Hemma share of expected goals 59.6%

Total expected goals2.67Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 50% · Under 50%

Gimnasia LP (D)1.08

Borta share of expected goals 40.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nej 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Ferro Carril Oeste (D)

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Gimnasia LP (D)

0.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Poäng3

SignalBorta matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
24%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.59
Expected goals
1.08
Ferro Carril Oeste (D)Gimnasia LP (D)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ferro Carril Oeste (D) signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gimnasia LP (D) signalBorta matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Ferro Carril Oeste (D) vs Gimnasia LP (D) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ferro Carril Oeste (D) vunnen 48%,Oavgjort 28%,Gimnasia LP (D) vunnen 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.67 · Över 2.5 50% · Current selection Över