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ISL Iceland 3 Deild · Final ·

FC Arbaer vs Ymir Kopavogur

Prediction review

Home form
Final score3–4Forecast 2–2
Away form
Home win36%
Draw21%
Away win43%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 43% selection probability
Prediction Won
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win43% selection probability
Projected score2–2FC ArbaerYmir Kopavogur
Expected goals3.70Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over72% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes71% for the selected side
Expected corners11.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
36% / 21% / 43%Match resultAway win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.5%)Double chance1278.5%1.27
Over 72% · Under 28%Goals 2.5Over72%1.39
Yes 71% · No 29%Both teams scoreYes71%1.41
3.70 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
11.5 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Arbaer win36%2.782.6034.6%
Draw21%4.764.2021.4%
Ymir Kopavogur win43%2.332.0543.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Arbaer1.81

Home share of expected goals 48.9%

Total expected goals3.70Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 72% · Under 28%

Ymir Kopavogur1.89

Away share of expected goals 51.1%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 71% · No 29%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FC Arbaer

0.20pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Ymir Kopavogur

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Win probability excluding draw
43%
1
Points from supplied form
4
1.81
Expected goals
1.89
FC ArbaerYmir Kopavogur
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Arbaer signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ymir Kopavogur signalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

FC Arbaer vs Ymir Kopavogur FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Arbaer win 36%,Draw 21%,Ymir Kopavogur win 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.70 · Over 2.5 72% · Current selection Over