Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
55% / 23% / 22%Match resultHome win55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sassuolo (W) win (21.8%)Double chance1X78.2%1.28
Over 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Under50%2.00
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.64 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
10.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fiorentina (W) win55%1.821.5757%—
Draw23%4.354.0022.4%—
Sassuolo (W) win22%4.554.3320.7%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 61.4%
Total expected goals2.64Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 50% · Under 50%
Away share of expected goals 38.6%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchFiorentina (W)
WLW
Played3Wins2Drawn0Losses1Points6
SignalNo recent signal
Away-context · form sequence
1.33pts / matchSassuolo (W)
LDW
Played3Wins1Drawn1Losses1Points4
SignalNo recent signal
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
55%
Win probability excluding draw
22%6
Points from supplied form
41.62
Expected goals
1.02Fiorentina (W)Sassuolo (W)
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.
Match questions
Fiorentina (W) vs Sassuolo (W) FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Fiorentina (W) win 55%，Draw 23%，Sassuolo (W) win 22%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.64 · Over 2.5 50% · Current selection Under。