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INT Italy Serie A Cup Women · Partita ·

Fiorentina (F) vs Sassuolo (F)

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.64 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa55%
Pareggio23%
Vittoria ospite22%
Market-based forecastVittoria casaTier B · 55% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Fiorentina (F)Sassuolo (F)
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto50% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
55% / 23% / 22%Esito partitaVittoria casa55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sassuolo (F) win (21.8%)Doppia Chance1X78.2%1.28
Sopra 50% · Sotto 50%Goals 2.5Sotto50%2.00
Sì 52% · No 48%Entrambe le squadre segnano52%1.92
2.64 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fiorentina (F) win55%1.821.5757%
Pareggio23%4.354.0022.4%
Sassuolo (F) win22%4.554.3320.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fiorentina (F)1.62

Casa share of expected goals 61.4%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 50% · Sotto 50%

Sassuolo (F)1.02

Trasferta share of expected goals 38.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Fiorentina (F)

2.00pts / match
Giocate3Wins2Drawn0Losses1Punti6

SignalNo recent signal

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Sassuolo (F)

1.33pts / match
Giocate3Wins1Drawn1Losses1Punti4

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Vinta probability excluding draw
22%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.62
Expected goals
1.02
Fiorentina (F)Sassuolo (F)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fiorentina (F) signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sassuolo (F) signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Fiorentina (F) vs Sassuolo (F) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fiorentina (F) vinta 55%,Pareggio 23%,Sassuolo (F) vinta 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · Sopra 2.5 50% · Current selection Sotto