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INT Iraq Stars League · Final ·

Naft Maysan vs Al Naft SC

Prediction review

Home form
Final score0–0Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win39%
Draw31%
Away win30%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 39% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Naft MaysanAl Naft SC
Expected goals1.89Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under71% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
39% / 31% / 30%Match resultHome win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Naft SC win (30.3%)Double chance1X69.7%1.43
Over 29% · Under 71%Goals 2.5Under71%1.41
Yes 38% · No 62%Both teams scoreNo62%1.61
1.89 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapNaft Maysan winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Naft Maysan win39%2.562.3039.1%-0.1 pp
Draw31%3.232.9031%0.0 pp
Al Naft SC win30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Naft Maysan0.94

Home share of expected goals 49.7%

Total expected goals1.89Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 29% · Under 71%

Al Naft SC0.95

Away share of expected goals 50.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 38% · No 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Naft Maysan

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Al Naft SC

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Win probability excluding draw
30%
8
Points from supplied form
11
0.94
Expected goals
0.95
Naft MaysanAl Naft SC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Naft Maysan signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al Naft SC signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Naft Maysan vs Al Naft SC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Naft Maysan win 39%,Draw 31%,Al Naft SC win 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.89 · Over 2.5 29% · Current selection Under