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EST Estonia Esiliiga B · Fixture ·

JK Tallinna Kalev II vs Tallinna JK Legion

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score4–15.10 expected goals
Away form
Home win72%
Draw14%
Away win15%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 72% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win72% selection probability
Projected score4–1JK Tallinna Kalev IITallinna JK Legion
Expected goals5.10Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over88% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
72% / 14% / 15%Match resultHome win72%1.39
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (13.9%)Double chance1286.1%1.16
Over 88% · Under 12%Goals 2.5Over88%1.14
Yes 67% · No 33%Both teams scoreYes67%1.49
5.10 total expected goalsCorrect score4–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapJK Tallinna Kalev II winDifference+2.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JK Tallinna Kalev II win72%1.391.2969.9%+2.1 pp
Draw14%7.146.2514.4%-0.4 pp
Tallinna JK Legion win15%6.675.7515.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Tallinna Kalev II3.96

Home share of expected goals 77.6%

Total expected goals5.10Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 88% · Under 12%

Tallinna JK Legion1.14

Away share of expected goals 22.4%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitYes 67% · No 33%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

JK Tallinna Kalev II

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Tallinna JK Legion

0.20pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
72%
Win probability excluding draw
15%
6
Points from supplied form
1
3.96
Expected goals
1.14
JK Tallinna Kalev IITallinna JK Legion
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Tallinna Kalev II signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tallinna JK Legion signalAway matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk28% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 14%.

Match questions

JK Tallinna Kalev II vs Tallinna JK Legion FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 4–1 · 72% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Tallinna Kalev II win 72%,Draw 14%,Tallinna JK Legion win 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.10 · Over 2.5 88% · Current selection Over