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EST Estland - Esiliiga B · Spiel ·

JK Tallinna Kalev II vs Tallinna JK Legion

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score4–15.10 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg72%
Unentschieden14%
Auswärtssieg15%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 72% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg72% selection probability
Projected score4–1JK Tallinna Kalev IITallinna JK Legion
Expected goals5.10Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über88% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
72% / 14% / 15%SpielergebnisHeimsieg72%1.39
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (13.9%)Doppelte Chance1286.1%1.16
Über 88% · Unter 12%Goals 2.5Über88%1.14
Ja 67% · Nein 33%Beide Teams treffenJa67%1.49
5.10 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis4–1
10.3 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapJK Tallinna Kalev II winDifference+2.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JK Tallinna Kalev II win72%1.391.2969.9%+2.1 pp
Unentschieden14%7.146.2514.4%-0.4 pp
Tallinna JK Legion win15%6.675.7515.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Tallinna Kalev II3.96

Heim share of expected goals 77.6%

Total expected goals5.10Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 88% · Unter 12%

Tallinna JK Legion1.14

Auswärts share of expected goals 22.4%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitJa 67% · Nein 33%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

JK Tallinna Kalev II

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Tallinna JK Legion

0.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punkte1

SignalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
72%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
15%
6
Points from supplied form
1
3.96
Expected goals
1.14
JK Tallinna Kalev IITallinna JK Legion
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Tallinna Kalev II signalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tallinna JK Legion signalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk28% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 14%.

Match questions

JK Tallinna Kalev II vs Tallinna JK Legion FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 4–1 · 72% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Tallinna Kalev II Gewinn 72%,Unentschieden 14%,Tallinna JK Legion Gewinn 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.10 · Über 2.5 88% · Current selection Über