Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
57% / 17% / 26%Match resultHome win57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (17%)Double chance1283%1.20
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Yes 59% · No 41%Both teams scoreYes59%1.69
3.12 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Scunthorpe win57%1.751.5558%—
Draw17%5.885.5016.3%—
Stoke U21 win26%3.853.5025.7%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 59.9%
Total expected goals3.12Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%
Away share of expected goals 40.1%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 59% · No 41%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchScunthorpe
LDLWL
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchStoke U21
DLDLW
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
57%
Win probability excluding draw
26%4
Points from supplied form
51.87
Expected goals
1.25ScunthorpeStoke U21
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 17%.
Match questions
Scunthorpe vs Stoke U21 FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Scunthorpe win 57%，Draw 17%，Stoke U21 win 26%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.12 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over。