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INT Engeland - National League Cup · Wedstrijd ·

Scunthorpe vs Stoke U21

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.12 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst57%
Gelijkspel17%
Uitwinst26%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 57% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst57% selection probability
Projected score2–1ScunthorpeStoke U21
Expected goals3.12Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven61% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
57% / 17% / 26%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (17%)Dubbele Kans1283%1.20
Boven 61% · Onder 39%Goals 2.5Boven61%1.64
Ja 59% · Nee 41%Beide teams scorenJa59%1.69
3.12 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Scunthorpe win57%1.751.5358.7%
Gelijkspel17%5.885.5016.3%
Stoke U21 win26%3.853.6025%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Scunthorpe1.88

Thuis share of expected goals 60.3%

Total expected goals3.12Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 61% · Onder 39%

Stoke U211.24

Uit share of expected goals 39.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 59% · Nee 41%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Scunthorpe

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Stoke U21

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
26%
4
Points from supplied form
5
1.88
Expected goals
1.24
ScunthorpeStoke U21
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Scunthorpe signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Stoke U21 signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Scunthorpe vs Stoke U21 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Scunthorpe gewonnen 57%,Gelijkspel 17%,Stoke U21 gewonnen 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.12 · Boven 2.5 61% · Current selection Boven