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INT England National League Cup · Fixture ·

Halifax vs Derby U21

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.08 expected goals
Away form
Home win48%
Draw21%
Away win31%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 48% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win48% selection probability
Projected score2–1HalifaxDerby U21
Expected goals3.08Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over60% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
48% / 21% / 31%Match resultHome win48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.9%)Double chance1279.1%1.26
Over 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Over60%1.67
Yes 60% · No 40%Both teams scoreYes60%1.67
3.08 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.4 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Halifax win48%2.081.8348.7%
Draw21%4.764.3320.6%
Derby U21 win31%3.232.9030.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Halifax1.74

Home share of expected goals 56.5%

Total expected goals3.08Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 60% · Under 40%

Derby U211.34

Away share of expected goals 43.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 60% · No 40%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Halifax

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Derby U21

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Win probability excluding draw
31%
4
Points from supplied form
2
1.74
Expected goals
1.34
HalifaxDerby U21
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Halifax signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Derby U21 signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Halifax vs Derby U21 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Halifax win 48%,Draw 21%,Derby U21 win 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.08 · Over 2.5 60% · Current selection Over