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INT England National League Cup · Fixture ·

Sutton Utd vs Leicester U21

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.07 expected goals
Away form
Home win47%
Draw22%
Away win31%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 47% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win47% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sutton UtdLeicester U21
Expected goals3.07Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over59% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
47% / 22% / 31%Match resultHome win47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22%)Double chance1278%1.28
Over 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Over59%1.69
Yes 60% · No 40%Both teams scoreYes60%1.67
3.07 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sutton Utd win47%2.131.9047.1%
Draw22%4.554.1021.8%
Leicester U21 win31%3.232.8831.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sutton Utd1.72

Home share of expected goals 56%

Total expected goals3.07Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 59% · Under 41%

Leicester U211.35

Away share of expected goals 44%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 60% · No 40%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Sutton Utd

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Leicester U21

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Win probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.72
Expected goals
1.35
Sutton UtdLeicester U21
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sutton Utd signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Leicester U21 signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Sutton Utd vs Leicester U21 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sutton Utd win 47%,Draw 22%,Leicester U21 win 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.07 · Over 2.5 59% · Current selection Over