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INT Iraq Stars League · Final ·

Al Zawra'a vs Al Minaa

Prediction review

Home form
Final score0–0Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win44%
Draw32%
Away win24%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 44% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Al Zawra'aAl Minaa
Expected goals1.95Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under69% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 32% / 24%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Minaa win (23.8%)Double chance1X76.2%1.31
Over 31% · Under 69%Goals 2.5Under69%1.45
Yes 36% · No 64%Both teams scoreNo64%1.56
1.95 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Al Zawra'a win44%2.27
Draw32%3.13
Al Minaa win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Zawra'a1.26

Home share of expected goals 64.6%

Total expected goals1.95Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 31% · Under 69%

Al Minaa0.69

Away share of expected goals 35.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 36% · No 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Al Zawra'a

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Al Minaa

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Win probability excluding draw
24%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.26
Expected goals
0.69
Al Zawra'aAl Minaa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Zawra'a signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al Minaa signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Al Zawra'a vs Al Minaa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Zawra'a win 44%,Draw 32%,Al Minaa win 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.95 · Over 2.5 31% · Current selection Under