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BRA Brazil Paulista Cup · Final ·

Marilia vs Linense

Prediction review

Home form
Final score0–1Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win40%
Draw31%
Away win30%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 40% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win40% selection probability
Projected score1–1MariliaLinense
Expected goals2.30Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under60% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
40% / 31% / 30%Match resultHome win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Linense win (29.6%)Double chance1X70.4%1.42
Over 40% · Under 60%Goals 2.5Under60%1.67
Yes 47% · No 53%Both teams scoreNo53%1.89
2.30 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Marilia win40%2.502.3039%
Draw31%3.232.8831.1%
Linense win30%3.333.0029.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Marilia1.27

Home share of expected goals 55.2%

Total expected goals2.30Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 40% · Under 60%

Linense1.03

Away share of expected goals 44.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 47% · No 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Marilia

1.00pts / match
Played4Wins1Drawn1Losses2Points4

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Linense

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Win probability excluding draw
30%
4
Points from supplied form
8
1.27
Expected goals
1.03
MariliaLinense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Marilia signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Linense signalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Marilia vs Linense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Marilia win 40%,Draw 31%,Linense win 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.30 · Over 2.5 40% · Current selection Under