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BRA Brazil Paulista Cup · Fixture ·

Osasco Sporting vs Primavera SP

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.29 expected goals
Away form
Home win37%
Draw30%
Away win34%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 37% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Osasco SportingPrimavera SP
Expected goals2.29Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under60% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
37% / 30% / 34%Match resultHome win37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.6%)Double chance1270.4%1.42
Over 40% · Under 60%Goals 2.5Under60%1.67
Yes 47% · No 53%Both teams scoreNo53%1.89
2.29 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Osasco Sporting win37%2.702.5035.8%
Draw30%3.333.0029.8%
Primavera SP win34%2.942.6034.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Osasco Sporting1.21

Home share of expected goals 52.8%

Total expected goals2.29Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 40% · Under 60%

Primavera SP1.08

Away share of expected goals 47.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 47% · No 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Osasco Sporting

1.00pts / match
Played4Wins1Drawn1Losses2Points4

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/4

Away-context · form sequence

Primavera SP

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome failed to score: 2/4

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Win probability excluding draw
34%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.21
Expected goals
1.08
Osasco SportingPrimavera SP
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Osasco Sporting signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Primavera SP signalHome failed to score: 2/4

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Osasco Sporting vs Primavera SP FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Osasco Sporting win 37%,Draw 30%,Primavera SP win 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.29 · Over 2.5 40% · Current selection Under