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BRA Brazil Paulista Cup · Final ·

Paulista vs Juventus SP

Prediction review

Home form
Final score1–0Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win32%
Draw30%
Away win38%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 38% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win38% selection probability
Projected score1–1PaulistaJuventus SP
Expected goals2.29Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under60% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
32% / 30% / 38%Match resultAway win38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.8%)Double chance1270.2%1.42
Over 40% · Under 60%Goals 2.5Under60%1.67
Yes 47% · No 53%Both teams scoreNo53%1.89
2.29 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.5 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Paulista win32%3.132.9031%
Draw30%3.333.0030%
Juventus SP win38%2.632.3039.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Paulista1.14

Home share of expected goals 49.8%

Total expected goals2.29Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 40% · Under 60%

Juventus SP1.15

Away share of expected goals 50.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 47% · No 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Paulista

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Juventus SP

3.00pts / match
Played2Wins2Drawn0Losses0Points6

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Win probability excluding draw
38%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.14
Expected goals
1.15
PaulistaJuventus SP
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Paulista signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Juventus SP signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Paulista vs Juventus SP FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Paulista win 32%,Draw 30%,Juventus SP win 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.29 · Over 2.5 40% · Current selection Under