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BRA Бразилия - Купа Паулиста · Final ·

Марилия vs Линенсе

Prediction review

Домакин form
Final score0–1Прогноза 1–1
Гост form
Победа за домакина40%
Равен31%
Победа за госта30%
Market-based forecastПобеда за домакинаTier B · 40% selection probability
Prediction Непознат
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина40% selection probability
Projected score1–1МарилияЛиненсе
Expected goals2.30Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под60% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
40% / 31% / 30%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Линенсе win (29.6%)Двоен шанс1X70.4%1.42
Над 40% · Под 60%Goals 2.5Под60%1.67
Да 47% · Не 53%И двата отбора да отбележатНе53%1.89
2.30 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.8 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНяма
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Марилия win40%2.502.3039%
Равен31%3.232.8831.1%
Линенсе win30%3.333.0029.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Марилия1.27

Домакин share of expected goals 55.2%

Total expected goals2.30Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 40% · Под 60%

Линенсе1.03

Гост share of expected goals 44.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 47% · Не 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Марилия

1.00pts / match
Изиграни4Wins1Drawn1Losses2Точки4

SignalГост unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Линенсе

1.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Точки8

SignalГост matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
30%
4
Points from supplied form
8
1.27
Expected goals
1.03
МарилияЛиненсе
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Марилия signalГост unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Линенсе signalГост matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Марилия vs Линенсе FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Марилия печеливш 40%,Равен 31%,Линенсе печеливш 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.30 · Над 2.5 40% · Current selection Под