Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
30% / 28% / 42%Match resultAway win42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Double chance1272%1.39
Over 43% · Under 57%Goals 2.5Under57%1.75
Yes 50% · No 50%Both teams scoreNo50%2.00
2.41 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapFlamengo (W) winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Santos (W) win30%3.333.0029.7%+0.3 pp
Draw28%3.573.2027.9%+0.1 pp
Flamengo (W) win42%2.382.1042.4%-0.4 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 53.1%
Total expected goals2.41Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 43% · Under 57%
Away share of expected goals 46.9%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 50% · No 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchSantos (W)
LWWLL
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchFlamengo (W)
DLDWW
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
30%
Win probability excluding draw
42%6
Points from supplied form
81.28
Expected goals
1.13Santos (W)Flamengo (W)
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Santos (W) vs Flamengo (W) FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Santos (W) win 30%，Draw 28%，Flamengo (W) win 42%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.41 · Over 2.5 43% · Current selection Under。