Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
30% / 36% / 34%Match resultDraw36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Internacional (W) win (29.6%)Double chanceX270.4%1.42
Over 20% · Under 80%Goals 2.5Under80%1.25
Yes 29% · No 71%Both teams scoreNo71%1.41
1.52 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Internacional (W) win30%3.33
Draw36%2.78
Ferroviaria (W) win34%2.94
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 46.1%
Total expected goals1.52Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 20% · Under 80%
Away share of expected goals 53.9%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 29% · No 71%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchInternacional (W)
DLWLL
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.20pts / matchFerroviaria (W)
DWDWW
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
30%
Win probability excluding draw
34%4
Points from supplied form
110.70
Expected goals
0.82Internacional (W)Ferroviaria (W)
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 36%.
Match questions
Internacional (W) vs Ferroviaria (W) FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Draw · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Internacional (W) win 30%，Draw 36%，Ferroviaria (W) win 34%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.52 · Over 2.5 20% · Current selection Under。