Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
71% / 18% / 12%Match resultHome win71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Vitoria (W) win (11.8%)Double chance1X88.2%1.13
Over 78% · Under 22%Goals 2.5Over78%1.28
Yes 55% · No 45%Both teams scoreYes55%1.82
4.10 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1——
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Bragantino (W) win71%1.41
Draw18%5.56
Vitoria (W) win12%8.33
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 79.5%
Total expected goals4.10Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 78% · Under 22%
Away share of expected goals 20.5%
Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 55% · No 45%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchBragantino (W)
LLWLW
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchVitoria (W)
DLLWD
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
71%
Win probability excluding draw
12%6
Points from supplied form
53.26
Expected goals
0.84Bragantino (W)Vitoria (W)
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 18%.
Match questions
Bragantino (W) vs Vitoria (W) FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 71% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Bragantino (W) win 71%，Draw 18%，Vitoria (W) win 12%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 4.10 · Over 2.5 78% · Current selection Over。