MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
BEL Belgium First Division A · Fixture ·

OH Leuven vs Standard Liege

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.12 expected goals
Away form
Home win29%
Draw31%
Away win39%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win39% selection probability
Projected score1–1OH LeuvenStandard Liege
Expected goals2.12Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under64% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
29% / 31% / 39%Match resultAway win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes OH Leuven win (29.2%)Double chanceX270.8%1.41
Over 36% · Under 64%Goals 2.5Under64%1.56
Yes 42% · No 58%Both teams scoreNo58%1.72
2.12 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
OH Leuven win29%3.45
Draw31%3.23
Standard Liege win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

OH Leuven0.91

Home share of expected goals 42.9%

Total expected goals2.12Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 36% · Under 64%

Standard Liege1.21

Away share of expected goals 57.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 42% · No 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

OH Leuven

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Standard Liege

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Win probability excluding draw
39%
4
Points from supplied form
8
0.91
Expected goals
1.21
OH LeuvenStandard Liege
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01OH Leuven signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Standard Liege signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

OH Leuven vs Standard Liege FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

OH Leuven win 29%,Draw 31%,Standard Liege win 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.12 · Over 2.5 36% · Current selection Under