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BEL Belgium First Division A · Fixture ·

Antwerp vs Sint-Truidense

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.58 expected goals
Away form
Home win30%
Draw29%
Away win41%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win41% selection probability
Projected score1–1AntwerpSint-Truidense
Expected goals2.58Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
30% / 29% / 41%Match resultAway win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29%)Double chance1271%1.41
Over 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.58 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Antwerp win30%3.33
Draw29%3.45
Sint-Truidense win41%2.44

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Antwerp1.10

Home share of expected goals 42.6%

Total expected goals2.58Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 48% · Under 52%

Sint-Truidense1.48

Away share of expected goals 57.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Antwerp

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Sint-Truidense

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalAway failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Win probability excluding draw
41%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.10
Expected goals
1.48
AntwerpSint-Truidense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Antwerp signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sint-Truidense signalAway failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Antwerp vs Sint-Truidense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Antwerp win 30%,Draw 29%,Sint-Truidense win 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.58 · Over 2.5 48% · Current selection Under