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BEL Belgio - Prima divisione A · Partita ·

OH Leuven vs Standard Liegi

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.12 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa29%
Pareggio31%
Vittoria ospite39%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite39% selection probability
Projected score1–1OH LeuvenStandard Liegi
Expected goals2.12Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto64% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
29% / 31% / 39%Esito partitaVittoria ospite39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes OH Leuven win (29.2%)Doppia ChanceX270.8%1.41
Sopra 36% · Sotto 64%Goals 2.5Sotto64%1.56
Sì 42% · No 58%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo58%1.72
2.12 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
10.8 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
OH Leuven win29%3.45
Pareggio31%3.23
Standard Liegi win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

OH Leuven0.91

Casa share of expected goals 42.9%

Total expected goals2.12Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 36% · Sotto 64%

Standard Liegi1.21

Trasferta share of expected goals 57.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 42% · No 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

OH Leuven

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Standard Liegi

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Vinta probability excluding draw
39%
4
Points from supplied form
8
0.91
Expected goals
1.21
OH LeuvenStandard Liegi
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01OH Leuven signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Standard Liegi signalCasa failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

OH Leuven vs Standard Liegi FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

OH Leuven vinta 29%,Pareggio 31%,Standard Liegi vinta 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.12 · Sopra 2.5 36% · Current selection Sotto