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BEL Belgia - Divizia 1 А · Meci ·

OH Leuven vs Standard Liege

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.12 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde29%
Egal31%
Victorie oaspeți39%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți39% selection probability
Projected score1–1OH LeuvenStandard Liege
Expected goals2.12Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub64% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
29% / 31% / 39%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes OH Leuven win (29.2%)Șansă dublăX270.8%1.41
Peste 36% · Sub 64%Goals 2.5Sub64%1.56
Da 42% · Nu 58%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu58%1.72
2.12 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
10.8 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
OH Leuven win29%3.45
Egal31%3.23
Standard Liege win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

OH Leuven0.91

Gazde share of expected goals 42.9%

Total expected goals2.12Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 36% · Sub 64%

Standard Liege1.21

Oaspeți share of expected goals 57.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 42% · Nu 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

OH Leuven

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Standard Liege

1.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puncte8

SignalGazde failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Câștig probability excluding draw
39%
4
Points from supplied form
8
0.91
Expected goals
1.21
OH LeuvenStandard Liege
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01OH Leuven signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Standard Liege signalGazde failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

OH Leuven vs Standard Liege FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

OH Leuven câștig 29%,Egal 31%,Standard Liege câștig 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.12 · Peste 2.5 36% · Current selection Sub