MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
MNE Montenegro Prva Liga · Fixture ·

Arsenal Tivat vs Buducnost Podgorica

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–11.60 expected goals
Away form
Home win33%
Draw35%
Away win32%
Full model forecastDrawTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDraw35% selection probability
Projected score1–1Arsenal TivatBuducnost Podgorica
Expected goals1.60Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under78% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo69% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
33% / 35% / 32%Match resultDraw35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Buducnost Podgorica win (31.5%)Double chance1X68.5%1.46
Over 22% · Under 78%Goals 2.5Under78%1.28
Yes 31% · No 69%Both teams scoreNo69%1.45
1.60 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Arsenal Tivat win33%3.03
Draw35%2.86
Buducnost Podgorica win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Arsenal Tivat0.82

Home share of expected goals 51.2%

Total expected goals1.60Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 22% · Under 78%

Buducnost Podgorica0.78

Away share of expected goals 48.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 31% · No 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Arsenal Tivat

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Buducnost Podgorica

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Win probability excluding draw
32%
2
Points from supplied form
6
0.82
Expected goals
0.78
Arsenal TivatBuducnost Podgorica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Arsenal Tivat signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Buducnost Podgorica signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

Arsenal Tivat vs Buducnost Podgorica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Draw · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Arsenal Tivat win 33%,Draw 35%,Buducnost Podgorica win 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.60 · Over 2.5 22% · Current selection Under