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MNE モンテネグロ プルヴァリーガ · 試合 ·

アルセナル・ティヴァト vs ブドゥチノスト・ポドリゴリツァ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–11.60 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利33%
引き分け35%
アウェイ勝利31%
Full model forecast引き分けTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call引き分け35% selection probability
Projected score1–1アルセナル・ティヴァトブドゥチノスト・ポドリゴリツァ
Expected goals1.60Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー78% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ69% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
33% / 35% / 31%試合結果引き分け35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ブドゥチノスト・ポドリゴリツァ win (31.5%)ダブルチャンス1X68.5%1.46
オーバー 22% · アンダー 78%Goals 2.5アンダー78%1.28
はい 31% · いいえ 69%両チーム得点いいえ69%1.45
1.60 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
8.3 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
アルセナル・ティヴァト win33%3.03
引き分け35%2.86
ブドゥチノスト・ポドリゴリツァ win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

アルセナル・ティヴァト0.82

ホーム share of expected goals 51.2%

Total expected goals1.60Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 22% · アンダー 78%

ブドゥチノスト・ポドリゴリツァ0.78

アウェイ share of expected goals 48.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 31% · いいえ 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

アルセナル・ティヴァト

0.40pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn2Losses3ポイント2

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ブドゥチノスト・ポドリゴリツァ

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn0Losses3ポイント6

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
勝ち probability excluding draw
31%
2
Points from supplied form
6
0.82
Expected goals
0.78
アルセナル・ティヴァトブドゥチノスト・ポドリゴリツァ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01アルセナル・ティヴァト signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ブドゥチノスト・ポドリゴリツァ signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

アルセナル・ティヴァト vs ブドゥチノスト・ポドリゴリツァ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 引き分け · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

アルセナル・ティヴァト 勝ち 33%,引き分け 35%,ブドゥチノスト・ポドリゴリツァ 勝ち 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.60 · オーバー 2.5 22% · Current selection アンダー