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GEO Georgia Erovnuli Liga · Round 20 ·

FC Spaeri vs Dinamo Tbilisi

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.62 expected goals
Away form
Home win28%
Draw27%
Away win45%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win45% selection probability
Projected score1–1FC SpaeriDinamo Tbilisi
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
28% / 27% / 45%Match resultAway win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Double chance1272.7%1.38
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.62 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapFC Spaeri winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Spaeri win28%3.573.2527.7%+0.3 pp
Draw27%3.703.3027.3%-0.3 pp
Dinamo Tbilisi win45%2.222.0045%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Spaeri1.19

Home share of expected goals 45.4%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%

Dinamo Tbilisi1.43

Away share of expected goals 54.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FC Spaeri

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Dinamo Tbilisi

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalAway won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Win probability excluding draw
45%
2
Points from supplied form
9
1.19
Expected goals
1.43
FC SpaeriDinamo Tbilisi
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Spaeri signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dinamo Tbilisi signalAway won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

FC Spaeri vs Dinamo Tbilisi FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Spaeri win 28%,Draw 27%,Dinamo Tbilisi win 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under