MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
GEO Georgia Erovnuli Liga · Round 20 ·

Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Samgurali

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.95 expected goals
Away form
Home win25%
Draw26%
Away win49%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win49% selection probability
Projected score1–2Meshakhte TkibuliSamgurali
Expected goals2.95Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over57% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
25% / 26% / 49%Match resultAway win49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Meshakhte Tkibuli win (25.1%)Double chanceX274.9%1.34
Over 57% · Under 43%Goals 2.5Over57%1.75
Yes 57% · No 43%Both teams scoreYes57%1.75
2.95 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.6%Largest probability gapSamgurali winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Meshakhte Tkibuli win25%4.003.5025.4%-0.4 pp
Draw26%3.853.4026.1%-0.1 pp
Samgurali win49%2.041.8348.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Meshakhte Tkibuli1.10

Home share of expected goals 37.3%

Total expected goals2.95Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 57% · Under 43%

Samgurali1.85

Away share of expected goals 62.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 57% · No 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Meshakhte Tkibuli

0.20pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Samgurali

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Win probability excluding draw
49%
1
Points from supplied form
10
1.10
Expected goals
1.85
Meshakhte TkibuliSamgurali
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Meshakhte Tkibuli signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Samgurali signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Samgurali FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Meshakhte Tkibuli win 25%,Draw 26%,Samgurali win 49%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.95 · Over 2.5 57% · Current selection Over