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GEO Georgia - Erovnuli Liga · Round 20 ·

FC Spaeri vs Dinamo Tbilisi

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.62 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa28%
Pareggio27%
Vittoria ospite45%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite45% selection probability
Projected score1–1FC SpaeriDinamo Tbilisi
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto51% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
28% / 27% / 45%Esito partitaVittoria ospite45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Doppia Chance1272.7%1.38
Sopra 49% · Sotto 51%Goals 2.5Sotto51%1.96
Sì 53% · No 47%Entrambe le squadre segnano53%1.89
2.62 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapFC Spaeri winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Spaeri win28%3.573.2527.7%+0.3 pp
Pareggio27%3.703.3027.3%-0.3 pp
Dinamo Tbilisi win45%2.222.0045%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Spaeri1.19

Casa share of expected goals 45.4%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 49% · Sotto 51%

Dinamo Tbilisi1.43

Trasferta share of expected goals 54.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

FC Spaeri

0.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punti2

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Dinamo Tbilisi

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9

SignalTrasferta won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Vinta probability excluding draw
45%
2
Points from supplied form
9
1.19
Expected goals
1.43
FC SpaeriDinamo Tbilisi
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Spaeri signalCasa failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dinamo Tbilisi signalTrasferta won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

FC Spaeri vs Dinamo Tbilisi FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Spaeri vinta 28%,Pareggio 27%,Dinamo Tbilisi vinta 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · Sopra 2.5 49% · Current selection Sotto