Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
38% / 32% / 30%Match resultHome win38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA Claypole win (30.3%)Double chance1X69.7%1.43
Over 43% · Under 57%Goals 2.5Under57%1.75
Yes 45% · No 55%Both teams scoreNo55%1.82
2.38 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
8.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapSportivo Barracas winDifference+1.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sportivo Barracas win38%2.632.5036.3%+1.7 pp
Draw32%3.132.8032.4%-0.4 pp
CA Claypole win30%3.332.9031.3%-1.3 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 65.5%
Total expected goals2.38Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 43% · Under 57%
Away share of expected goals 34.5%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 45% · No 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchSportivo Barracas
WLLLW
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchCA Claypole
LLDDL
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2
SignalHome won 2/3 recent home matches
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
38%
Win probability excluding draw
30%6
Points from supplied form
21.56
Expected goals
0.82Sportivo BarracasCA Claypole
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 32%.
Match questions
Sportivo Barracas vs CA Claypole FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 38% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Sportivo Barracas win 38%，Draw 32%，CA Claypole win 30%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.38 · Over 2.5 43% · Current selection Under。