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ARG 阿根廷大都會區丙級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

巴拉卡斯體育會 vs 卡拉普萊

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–12.38 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝38%
32%
客勝30%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝38% selection probability
Projected score2–1巴拉卡斯體育會卡拉普萊
Expected goals2.38Balanced match profile
Goals 2.557% for the selected side
雙方進球55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
38% / 32% / 30%比賽結果主勝38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 卡拉普萊 win (30.3%)雙重機會1X69.7%1.43
大 43% · 小 57%Goals 2.557%1.75
是 45% · 否 55%雙方進球55%1.82
2.38 total expected goals正確比分2–1
8.0 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gap巴拉卡斯體育會 winDifference+1.7 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
巴拉卡斯體育會 win38%2.632.5036.3%+1.7 pp
32%3.132.8032.4%-0.4 pp
卡拉普萊 win30%3.332.9031.3%-1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

巴拉卡斯體育會1.56

主隊 share of expected goals 65.5%

Total expected goals2.38Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 43% · 57%

卡拉普萊0.82

客隊 share of expected goals 34.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 45% · 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

巴拉卡斯體育會

1.20pts / match
5Wins2Drawn0Losses3積分6

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

卡拉普萊

0.40pts / match
5Wins0Drawn2Losses3積分2

Signal主隊 won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
贏 probability excluding draw
30%
6
Points from supplied form
2
1.56
Expected goals
0.82
巴拉卡斯體育會卡拉普萊
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01巴拉卡斯體育會 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02卡拉普萊 signal主隊 won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

巴拉卡斯體育會 vs 卡拉普萊 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

巴拉卡斯體育會 38%, 32%,卡拉普萊 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.38 · 大2.5 43% · Current selection