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ARG Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Fixture ·

Leones de Rosario vs Deportivo Muniz

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–11.78 expected goals
Away form
Home win43%
Draw33%
Away win24%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Leones de RosarioDeportivo Muniz
Expected goals1.78Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under74% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
43% / 33% / 24%Match resultHome win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Muniz win (23.9%)Double chance1X76.1%1.31
Over 26% · Under 74%Goals 2.5Under74%1.35
Yes 33% · No 67%Both teams scoreNo67%1.49
1.78 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Leones de Rosario win43%2.33
Draw33%3.03
Deportivo Muniz win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Leones de Rosario1.14

Home share of expected goals 64%

Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 26% · Under 74%

Deportivo Muniz0.64

Away share of expected goals 36%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 33% · No 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Leones de Rosario

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Deportivo Muniz

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Win probability excluding draw
24%
3
Points from supplied form
8
1.14
Expected goals
0.64
Leones de RosarioDeportivo Muniz
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Leones de Rosario signalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Muniz signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Leones de Rosario vs Deportivo Muniz FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Leones de Rosario win 43%,Draw 33%,Deportivo Muniz win 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.78 · Over 2.5 26% · Current selection Under