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VEN Venezuela Segunda Division · Fixture ·

Atletico Avila vs Aragua

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.42 expected goals
Away form
Home win32%
Draw30%
Away win38%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 38% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Atletico AvilaAragua
Expected goals2.42Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under57% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes50% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
32% / 30% / 38%Match resultAway win38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)Double chance1270.3%1.42
Over 43% · Under 57%Goals 2.5Under57%1.75
Yes 50% · No 50%Both teams scoreYes50%2.00
2.42 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atletico Avila win32%3.132.8831.1%
Draw30%3.333.0029.9%
Aragua win38%2.632.3039%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atletico Avila1.20

Home share of expected goals 49.6%

Total expected goals2.42Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 43% · Under 57%

Aragua1.22

Away share of expected goals 50.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 50% · No 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Atletico Avila

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Aragua

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Win probability excluding draw
38%
5
Points from supplied form
9
1.20
Expected goals
1.22
Atletico AvilaAragua
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atletico Avila signalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Aragua signalHome clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Atletico Avila vs Aragua FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atletico Avila win 32%,Draw 30%,Aragua win 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.42 · Over 2.5 43% · Current selection Under