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VEN Venezuela - Segunda Division · Wedstrijd ·

Atletico Avila vs Aragua

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.43 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst32%
Gelijkspel30%
Uitwinst38%
Market-based forecastUitwinstTier B · 38% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Atletico AvilaAragua
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder56% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa50% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
32% / 30% / 38%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)Dubbele Kans1270.3%1.42
Boven 44% · Onder 56%Goals 2.5Onder56%1.79
Ja 50% · Nee 50%Beide teams scorenJa50%2.00
2.43 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atletico Avila win32%3.132.8831.1%
Gelijkspel30%3.333.0029.9%
Aragua win38%2.632.3039%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atletico Avila1.21

Thuis share of expected goals 49.8%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 44% · Onder 56%

Aragua1.22

Uit share of expected goals 50.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nee 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Atletico Avila

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Aragua

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
38%
5
Points from supplied form
9
1.21
Expected goals
1.22
Atletico AvilaAragua
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atletico Avila signalThuis matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Aragua signalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Atletico Avila vs Aragua FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atletico Avila gewonnen 32%,Gelijkspel 30%,Aragua gewonnen 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · Boven 2.5 44% · Current selection Onder