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VEN Venezuela Segunda Division · Fixture ·

Mineros de Guayana vs Monagas II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.81 expected goals
Away form
Home win31%
Draw29%
Away win39%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win39% selection probability
Projected score1–2Mineros de GuayanaMonagas II
Expected goals2.81Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes55% for the selected side
Expected corners7.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
31% / 29% / 39%Match resultAway win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.5%)Double chance1270.5%1.42
Over 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Over53%1.89
Yes 55% · No 45%Both teams scoreYes55%1.82
2.81 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
7.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapMineros de Guayana winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mineros de Guayana win31%3.232.8032%-1.0 pp
Draw29%3.453.0029.9%-0.9 pp
Monagas II win39%2.562.3538.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mineros de Guayana1.08

Home share of expected goals 38.4%

Total expected goals2.81Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 53% · Under 47%

Monagas II1.73

Away share of expected goals 61.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 55% · No 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Mineros de Guayana

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Monagas II

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Win probability excluding draw
39%
4
Points from supplied form
10
1.08
Expected goals
1.73
Mineros de GuayanaMonagas II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mineros de Guayana signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Monagas II signalHome failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Mineros de Guayana vs Monagas II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mineros de Guayana win 31%,Draw 29%,Monagas II win 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.81 · Over 2.5 53% · Current selection Over