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VEN Venezuela Segunda Division · Fixture ·

Yaracuyanos vs Real Frontera

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.52 expected goals
Away form
Home win71%
Draw19%
Away win10%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 71% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win71% selection probability
Projected score2–1YaracuyanosReal Frontera
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under54% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
71% / 19% / 10%Match resultHome win71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Real Frontera win (9.7%)Double chance1X90.3%1.11
Over 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Yes 41% · No 59%Both teams scoreNo59%1.69
2.52 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.3%Largest probability gapReal Frontera winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Yaracuyanos win71%1.411.2771.4%-0.4 pp
Draw19%5.264.7519.1%-0.1 pp
Real Frontera win10%10.009.509.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Yaracuyanos1.86

Home share of expected goals 73.8%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 46% · Under 54%

Real Frontera0.66

Away share of expected goals 26.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 41% · No 59%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Yaracuyanos

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Real Frontera

0.00pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
Win probability excluding draw
10%
3
Points from supplied form
0
1.86
Expected goals
0.66
YaracuyanosReal Frontera
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Yaracuyanos signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Real Frontera signalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Yaracuyanos vs Real Frontera FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Yaracuyanos win 71%,Draw 19%,Real Frontera win 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Over 2.5 46% · Current selection Under