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Desenzano vs Giana Erminio

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.22 expected goals
Away form
Home win30%
Draw26%
Away win43%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 43% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win43% selection probability
Projected score2–2DesenzanoGiana Erminio
Expected goals3.22Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
30% / 26% / 43%Match resultAway win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Double chance1273.9%1.35
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 65% · No 35%Both teams scoreYes65%1.54
3.22 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
8.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Desenzano win30%3.333.1028.9%
Draw26%3.853.4026.3%
Giana Erminio win43%2.332.0044.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Desenzano1.53

Home share of expected goals 47.5%

Total expected goals3.22Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%

Giana Erminio1.69

Away share of expected goals 52.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 65% · No 35%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Desenzano

3.00pts / match
Played1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Points3

SignalHome unbeaten 1/1

Away-context · form sequence

Giana Erminio

0.00pts / match
Played1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Points0

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Win probability excluding draw
43%
3
Points from supplied form
0
1.53
Expected goals
1.69
DesenzanoGiana Erminio
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Desenzano signalHome unbeaten 1/1

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Giana Erminio signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Desenzano vs Giana Erminio FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Desenzano win 30%,Draw 26%,Giana Erminio win 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over