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EUR Europe Friendlies · Wedstrijd ·

Desenzano vs Giana Erminio

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–23.22 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst30%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst43%
Market-based forecastUitwinstTier B · 43% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst43% selection probability
Projected score2–2DesenzanoGiana Erminio
Expected goals3.22Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven62% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
30% / 26% / 43%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Dubbele Kans1273.9%1.35
Boven 62% · Onder 38%Goals 2.5Boven62%1.61
Ja 65% · Nee 35%Beide teams scorenJa65%1.54
3.22 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
8.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Desenzano win30%3.333.1028.9%
Gelijkspel26%3.853.4026.3%
Giana Erminio win43%2.332.0044.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Desenzano1.53

Thuis share of expected goals 47.5%

Total expected goals3.22Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 62% · Onder 38%

Giana Erminio1.69

Uit share of expected goals 52.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 65% · Nee 35%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Desenzano

3.00pts / match
Gespeeld1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Punten3

SignalThuis unbeaten 1/1

Uit-context · form sequence

Giana Erminio

0.00pts / match
Gespeeld1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Punten0

SignalNee recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
43%
3
Points from supplied form
0
1.53
Expected goals
1.69
DesenzanoGiana Erminio
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Desenzano signalThuis unbeaten 1/1

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Giana Erminio signalNee recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Desenzano vs Giana Erminio FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 2–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Desenzano gewonnen 30%,Gelijkspel 26%,Giana Erminio gewonnen 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · Boven 2.5 62% · Current selection Boven