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VEN Venezuela Primera Division · Fixture ·

Metropolitanos FC vs UCV

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.23 expected goals
Away form
Home win49%
Draw28%
Away win23%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win49% selection probability
Projected score2–1Metropolitanos FCUCV
Expected goals3.23Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over63% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
49% / 28% / 23%Match resultHome win49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UCV win (23.5%)Double chance1X76.5%1.31
Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59
Yes 61% · No 39%Both teams scoreYes61%1.64
3.23 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapMetropolitanos FC winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Metropolitanos FC win49%2.041.8548.4%+0.6 pp
Draw28%3.573.2028%0.0 pp
UCV win23%4.353.8023.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Metropolitanos FC2.01

Home share of expected goals 62.2%

Total expected goals3.23Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%

UCV1.22

Away share of expected goals 37.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 61% · No 39%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Metropolitanos FC

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

UCV

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Win probability excluding draw
23%
9
Points from supplied form
3
2.01
Expected goals
1.22
Metropolitanos FCUCV
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Metropolitanos FC signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UCV signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Metropolitanos FC vs UCV FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Metropolitanos FC win 49%,Draw 28%,UCV win 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.23 · Over 2.5 63% · Current selection Over